What will property prices do in 2017




















Over the first ten days in March, Sydney housing values surpassed their peak. Source: CoreLogic. Why were property prices so high in ? NEXT Strength in regional markets continue as prices surge. Need help finding an agent to sell your home? OpenAgent compares local agent sales and thousands of reviews to help you find the best agent Help me find an agent. Recent posts. Nela Richardson, chief economist for Redfin, agrees that bullish real estate sales prices are decelerating.

Based on these indicators, Richardson expects will bring a more normalized housing market — one that still boasts a healthy number of sales but a moderate rate of price growth.

And as demand slows, inventory will gradually increase in Colby Sambrotto, president of USRealty. Richardson agrees that rental affordability is one of the biggest factors driving first-timers into the market. There are fewer bidding wars and less of a need to escalate significantly above the list price to get an offer accepted.

Something else has been booming in Europe's property market though: the volume of institutional investment, particularly in the form of international capital flows from major corporations, hedge funds and other financial market actors.

The characteristics of the pandemic have helped fuel a trend that had already been developing, according to Oliver Knight, a residential property expert with Knight Frank, a real estate consultancy. The flow of money into European real estate is nothing new, but the trend has clearly been accelerating.

In Germany, foreign investment into commercial real estate quadrupled between and , according to research by Bulwiengesa, a consultancy.

In some European countries, there have been tensions over rising levels of institutional investment in the housing sector, particularly as both rents and house prices rise. Government tax breaks and incentives instituted in the wake of the country's economic crisis have attracted multibillion-dollar hedge funds and private equity funds as well as vulture funds, which specialize in buying up distressed loans. Things appear to have reached a tipping point however.

Earlier this month, a US real estate investment company called Round Hill Capital bought all properties in a new housing development just outside Dublin. The deal was seen as exemplifying the problem in the Irish housing market, where first-time buyers are forced to compete for ever fewer, ever more expensive houses while rents rise unabated. In the wake of Ireland's property crash, the government actively sought foreign investment to revive the sector.

Aidan Regan, an associate professor at University College Dublin, says that the large-scale institutional investment that the Irish government has attracted into the market has focused on buying up existing stock and renting it out at higher prices, rather than financing new developments for future sale. Now the government is just on the back foot and they don't know what to do. The German capital Berlin has also been at the center of a debate on the nature of this kind of real estate investment.

Big capital from foreign markets has poured into the city in recent years, including from the likes of Warren Buffett. It said this would be supported by higher earnings growth and households made up of more sharers to pay the rent.

This is the highest number since the financial crisis, but a House of Lords committee has called for , new homes per year in England. And there are fears that market uncertainty could mean fewer homes are started in The property firm JLL suggests the number of housing starts could fall to , Growth has been driven by the south-east and east of England in , but there are suggestions that some parts of the north will see higher growth — or lower falls — in the next 12 months. Rics forecasts that East Anglia will see higher growth than the UK average, but also picks the north-west and West Midlands as areas that will outperform.

Earley said the effect of the Brexit decision could be felt most keenly in London, which is the part of the UK most vulnerable to issues in financial services sector and exports. UK housing market: what to expect in Round-up of the state of the property market in and the outlook for the year ahead.



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